Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000089 0.000093 0.000098 0.000104 0.000110 0.000116 0.000123
2025-01-26 0.000078 0.000085 0.000091 0.000099 0.000108 0.000118 0.000131
2025-02-02 0.000074 0.000082 0.000090 0.000100 0.000112 0.000126 0.000144
2025-02-09 0.000072 0.000080 0.000090 0.000102 0.000116 0.000134 0.000158
2025-02-16 0.000070 0.000079 0.000090 0.000103 0.000121 0.000142 0.000173
2025-02-23 0.000070 0.000080 0.000092 0.000108 0.000129 0.000157 0.000197
2025-03-02 0.000066 0.000077 0.000089 0.000105 0.000127 0.000157 0.000202
2025-03-09 0.000063 0.000073 0.000085 0.000102 0.000124 0.000155 0.000203
2025-03-16 0.000061 0.000071 0.000084 0.000102 0.000126 0.000160 0.000214
2025-03-23 0.000060 0.000071 0.000085 0.000103 0.000130 0.000168 0.000233
2025-03-30 0.000058 0.000069 0.000083 0.000102 0.000129 0.000170 0.000240
2025-04-06 0.000056 0.000066 0.000079 0.000098 0.000125 0.000166 0.000237
2025-04-13 0.000053 0.000063 0.000077 0.000095 0.000123 0.000165 0.000240
2025-04-20 0.000051 0.000060 0.000073 0.000092 0.000119 0.000161 0.000238
2025-04-27 0.000050 0.000060 0.000073 0.000092 0.000121 0.000167 0.000256
2025-05-04 0.000049 0.000059 0.000073 0.000094 0.000125 0.000177 0.000282
2025-05-11 0.000049 0.000059 0.000073 0.000095 0.000129 0.000187 0.000310
2025-05-18 0.000049 0.000060 0.000076 0.000099 0.000138 0.000207 0.000365
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000058 0.000073 0.000097 0.000136 0.000205 0.000369
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000056 0.000071 0.000094 0.000132 0.000201 0.000366
2025-06-08 0.000045 0.000055 0.000070 0.000094 0.000133 0.000206 0.000388
2025-06-15 0.000044 0.000055 0.000071 0.000095 0.000137 0.000218 0.000433
2025-06-22 0.000043 0.000054 0.000069 0.000094 0.000136 0.000219 0.000446